Welcome to a deep dive into the fascinating world of applying reinforcement learning (RL) in quantitative trading. This blog post will guide you through the concepts, methodologies, and some hands-on tips for getting started with this sophisticated financial strategy using RL.
Overview
This repository is dedicated to my graduate thesis, which explores the integration of reinforcement learning methods in quantitative trading strategies. The thesis outlines several experiments using two main types of RL models that demonstrated promising performance in back-tests:
- Policy Gradient:
- Vanilla Policy Gradient (not implemented in this repo)
- Multi-Task Recurrent Policy Gradient (RPG)
- Direct RL:
- Vanilla DRL (Deep Reinforcement Learning)
- A hybrid network that involves news embedding vectors (DRL with news)
How to Set Up Your Environment
To experiment with these models, you’ll find three types of trading environments included in the repository:
- CryptoCurrency: Accessible through
envcrc_env.py
- End of Day US Stock Prices: Through
envstock_env.py
- Continuous Futures: Managed by
envfutures_env.py
Understanding the Agents
There are two types of agents available for use:
- DRL Agents:
agentsdrl_agent.py
agentsdrl_news_agent.py
- RPG Agents:
agentsrpg_agent.py
agentsrpg_news_agent.py
Feel free to explore some of the historical files in history
and model_archive
, which, while deprecated, contain early ideas worth reviewing.
Experiments Explained
The details of various experiments using these models can be found within the Experiments.ipynb
file. This file contains all the information you need to replicate or build upon the experiments.
Code Analogy: Learning to Trade Like Riding a Bicycle
Imagine learning to ride a bicycle. At first, you may wobble and fall but with each attempt, you gather valuable feedback on how to balance, pedal, and steer. Reinforcement learning operates on a similar principle:
- Feedback Loop: Just like the feedback you get when riding, RL algorithms learn from rewards or penalties based on their actions in various trading environments.
- Exploration vs. Exploitation: When you’re learning to ride, you might occasionally venture off the beaten path to discover new routes—this is akin to exploration in RL, where the algorithm weighs trying new strategies against honing known successful ones.
- Continuous Improvement: With practice, your bicycle riding gets smoother, similar to how RL models improve their trading strategies over time through experiences and learnings.
Troubleshooting
As with any software implementation, you may encounter issues. Here are some troubleshooting ideas to get you back on track:
- Environment Setup: Ensure that Python and all necessary libraries are installed correctly. Using virtual environments is a good practice.
- Dependency Issues: Double-check the required library versions in your setup. Sometimes, mismatching versions can lead to conflicts.
- Performance Monitoring: If the models aren’t performing as expected, try tweaking the parameters or reviewing the training data for any biases or anomalies.
For further assistance, consider staying connected with **[fxis.ai](https://fxis.ai)** for insights, updates, or collaboration opportunities in AI development projects.
Final Thoughts
The fusion of reinforcement learning and quantitative trading opens up exciting avenues for research and practice. With proper experimentation, dedicated agents, and continuously evolving strategies, you can harness the power of AI to potentially yield significant trading advantages.
At **[fxis.ai](https://fxis.ai)**, we believe that such advancements are crucial for the future of AI, as they enable more comprehensive and effective solutions. Our team is continually exploring new methodologies to push the envelope in artificial intelligence, ensuring that our clients benefit from the latest technological innovations.
References
- Deep Direct Reinforcement Learning for Financial Signal Representation and Trading
- Using a Financial Training Criterion Rather than a Prediction Criterion
- A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for the Financial Portfolio Management Problem
- Recurrent Reinforcement Learning: A Hybrid Approach
- Reinforcement Learning for Trading
- Continuous control with deep reinforcement learning
- Memory-based control with recurrent neural networks
Happy trading!