Investing in NTPC Green Energy: Expert Insights and Analysis

Nov 19, 2024 | Trends

Is NTPC Green Energy IPO a Good Buy? A Comprehensive Analysis

As NTPC Green Energy steps into the spotlight with its IPO, investors are curious whether it’s a golden opportunity or a risky gamble. Valued at a P/E of 208 times and a market cap of ₹91,000 crores, the IPO has drawn comparisons with Adani Green Energy, trading at a P/E of 182. This article explores the fundamentals, growth potential, and risks associated with NTPC Green Energy IPO to help you make an informed decision.


  • What is NTPC Green Energy IPO?
    NTPC Green Energy, a subsidiary of NTPC, focuses on renewable energy projects. The IPO is priced at ₹1 per share with a GMP of ₹1, attracting attention for its promising growth projections.
  • How does it compare to peers like Adani Green Energy?
    NTPC Green Energy is valued at a P/E of 208x compared to Adani Green’s 182x. This indicates a premium valuation but reflects strong growth potential.
  • What are the growth projections?
    Revenue, EBITDA, and PAT are expected to grow at CAGRs of 79%, 117.2%, and 123.8%, respectively, during FY24-27E, showcasing robust potential.
  • Is it attractively priced?
    At the upper price band, experts like SBI Securities and Marwadi Financial Services suggest the IPO is attractively priced for long-term growth.
  • What risks should investors consider?
    While the growth prospects are appealing, investing in IPOs is inherently risky. Key risks include market volatility, over-subscription uncertainties, and the company’s ability to meet growth expectations.

    Is NTPC Green Energy IPO a Good Buy? Detailed Analysis and Answers

    As NTPC Green Energy makes its IPO debut, investors are asking: Is it worth buying? Is it a short-term or long-term opportunity? When and where can you buy it? Let’s analyze the key aspects to make an informed decision.


    Is NTPC Green Energy IPO Worth Buying?

    Yes, NTPC Green Energy IPO shows promise for long-term investors. With strong financial growth projections:

    • Revenue CAGR: 79%
    • EBITDA CAGR: 117.2%
    • PAT CAGR: 123.8%

    These figures highlight the company’s robust growth potential, especially given the global push towards renewable energy. At a valuation of ₹91,000 crores and a P/E of 208x, it’s slightly premium-priced but aligns with its peers like Adani Green Energy (P/E 182x).

    Verdict: Attractive for long-term investors seeking exposure to the renewable energy sector.


    Is It a Short-Term or Long-Term Investment?

    • Short-Term:
      With a Grey Market Premium (GMP) of ₹1 per share, short-term gains appear limited. Over-subscription may lead to listing gains, but these are unlikely to be significant given the tight GMP.
    • Long-Term:
      The company’s growth trajectory makes it more suitable for long-term holding. As renewable energy demand rises and NTPC Green expands its portfolio, investors could see substantial returns over 3–5 years.

    Verdict: Primarily a long-term play.


    When to Buy NTPC Green Energy IPO?

    • Subscription Dates: Investors should check official announcements for IPO subscription dates.
    • Optimal Price Band: At the upper price band, it’s considered attractively priced for long-term growth as per analysts like SBI Securities.

    Verdict: Subscribe during the IPO period for better allotment chances and pricing advantage.


    Where to Buy NTPC Green Energy IPO?

    • Primary Market: Through stockbrokers offering IPO applications (e.g., Zerodha, Upstox, Groww).
    • Post-IPO: If you miss the IPO, you can purchase shares on the stock exchanges once listed.

    Verdict: Prefer subscribing during the IPO for the initial price band advantage.


    What Risks Should Investors Consider?

    1. High Valuation: The P/E of 208x is high, leaving limited margin for error.
    2. Execution Risks: Renewable energy projects require substantial upfront investment, and delays could impact growth.
    3. Market Sentiment: Renewable energy stocks often fluctuate based on policy changes and global energy prices.

    Final Verdict: Is NTPC Green Energy IPO Worth It?

    If you are:

    • A long-term investor with patience to hold for 3–5 years, the IPO offers strong growth potential.
    • A short-term investor looking for immediate gains, this may not be the best option due to the modest GMP.

    FAQs

    1. Is it a good buy?
      Yes, for long-term investors.
    2. Who should buy?
      Investors focused on renewable energy and sustainable growth themes.
    3. Where to buy?
      Through your broker during the IPO or later on stock exchanges.
    4. When to buy?
      Subscribe during the IPO dates or consider after listing if prices align with your targets.
    5. Short-term or long-term?
      Best suited for long-term investments.

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